Today is primary day and 3.5 million Flori

Tuesday, January 08, 2008

What to watch for today: Turnout and independent voters

Thing to watch today from Political CommenTerry:


  • First, turnout: High is good for Barack Obama. Low is good for establishment candidates.

  • Second, watch where the independent voters are going.

  • Third, watch the battle between McCain and Mitt Romney. New Hampshire will be a virtual elimination round.

  • Fourth, watch the Ron Paul factor. If Paul were to garner 15% or more of the New Hampshire GOP primary vote, I believe it will be difficult for McCain to win.

  • Finally, watch Mike Huckabee's order of finish. He doesn't need to win, but he does need to finish third, ahead of Rudy Giuliani, Fred Thompson, and Ron Paul, to retain the momentum from his Iowa win.....

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