Monday, April 18, 2011

Polling for 2012: Obama and the Republicans + Trump?

Nobody believes that poll results have anything to do with what the people will do on election day, but polling is all the rage...

2012
  • Democrats can win the budget debate (By Joe Conason, The Oregonian) Ryan's angry response has opened up the possibility of a debate that the country desperately needs. Let us hope that Obama doesn't shrink from that challenge or delegate it to someone else. If his presidency is to become anything but the prelude to an era of decline, he must keep pushing forward just as aggressively as the Republicans push backward.
  • Obama Job Approval at 41%, Tying His Low Independents' approval rating down to 35% (by Jeffrey M. Jones, Gallup) Obama's approval rating in April 12-14 polling is down most among independents when compared with his 2011 average to date as well as his term average among this group. Currently, 35% of independents approve of the president, nine points off his average from independents this year.
  • Jonathan Alter: Republican horror movie sequel hits theaters (Capital Times - Madison) Obama was elected as a story-teller. Beginning with his famous speech to the Democratic National Convention in 2004, he weaved a personal narrative about Africa, Hawaii and community organizing in Chicago into a compelling message of “Change we can believe in.”
  • What's Donald Trump really after? (By: Maggie Haberman and Ben Smith, Politico) The widespread assumption that Trump’s flirtation with the presidency is a publicity stunt is no doubt at least partly true. But that’s merely the point of departure for a man whose almost every public move over the last 30 years has been a publicity stunt.

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