Tuesday, June 03, 2008

Will the real coalition for change please stand up!

According the The National Review, Pew Research is telling us that Obama is favored by fewer white women and independents than in February. But isn't that the function of negative campaigning, to suppress positive reactions?

The Nation tells us that "election results from 2006, in which young voters chose Democrats 60 – 38%, all point to a long-term shift among Millennials towards the Democratic Party and a comparatively more progressive worldview than the more conservative Generation X...."

Now might be a good time to review Jacqueline Salit's The Black and Independent Alliance from 2006: As with all things that are becoming you never read about them in the newspapers. But something new is becoming in New York City politics. What is that new political reality? Its starting point is the long awaited revolution in the black vote. 47% – nearly half – of black New Yorkers broke away from the Democratic Party and voted for the independent Republican Michael Bloomberg. This shift was chronicled only briefly in the spasm of always conservative post-election analysis, perhaps with the hope that the old ways of municipal politics will reassert themselves. The basic rule of political thumb in New York City is that blacks are not wanted by the Republican Party and therefore can be thoroughly neglected by the Democratic Party. New York City’s political class has been happy with this arrangement, and was startled to see it disrupted, even if it helped re-elect Mike Bloomberg.....

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